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Rank #12 of 143 Strong ⚠ SUBLEASED 71/100

ScotchmanStore #2627 · Scotchman

421 E Chatham St, Cary, NC

Annual Base Rent$88,460
Rent $/SF$35.50
Building SF2,492
Land (ac)0.57
Remaining Term4.8 yrs
StatusLong-Term
Pre G&A CFC-0.01x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aScotchman
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementMar 27, 2008
Lease expirationMar 31, 2031
Remaining term4.8 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$88,460
Base rent $/SF$35.50
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/2
Notice dateSep 03, 2030
Year built1990
Building SF2,492
Land area (acres)0.57
Pre G&A CFC-0.01x (2018)
Lease statusSUBLEASED
Operating tenant421 E Chatham St

Location Score Breakdown 71/100

AADT Traffic 5/15
Highway Proximity 5/10
Gas Competition 1mi 2/15
3mi Population 12/12
3mi HH Income 12/12
Pop Density 3mi 8/8
County Growth 7/7
County Unemp. 7/7
Dollar Stores 6/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 10/10
EV Density Pen. -2/0
Thin Market Pen. 0/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population12,05187,436185,862
Households4,40237,83977,560
Pop. density (/sq mi)3,8363,0922,366
Avg HH income$106,359$125,382$134,501
Poverty rate16.4%9.1%9.0%
Bachelor's+ 44.3%60.9%65.1%
Median home value$351,213$431,162$474,319
Median rent$1,376$1,549$1,620
Median age313737
Owner-occupied42.0%49.5%51.9%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)7,500
Daytime jobs (3 mi)61,225
Daytime jobs (1 mi)6,811
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)1
Gas competitors (1 mi)6
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)0
Highway distance (mi)0.65
EV stations (5 mi)132
CountyWake County
County pop. growth9.0%
County unemployment2.9%
Walk score73
Bike score55
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • The 3-mile average household income of $125,382 and population of 87,436 indicate a dense, affluent consumer base that supports fuel and convenience spending at above-average per-visit levels.
  • Wake County's 9.0% population growth from 2020 to 2024 positions this asset in one of the most supply-constrained, high-demand growth corridors in the country.
  • The GPM Investments/ARKO Corp. guaranty covers a publicly traded, SEC-reporting operator with approximately 3,500 locations, providing institutional-grade lease counterparty accountability through expiration.

Key Risks

  • AADT of only 7,500 vehicles per day is materially below the 15,000-plus threshold typically associated with high-performing gas station sites, limiting organic fuel volume and convenience traffic.
  • Six competing gas stations within 1 mile create meaningful price and volume pressure on a site that already operates at a traffic disadvantage.
  • With 132 EV charging stations within 5 miles and the lease expiring in 2031, fuel demand erosion and tenant renewal hesitation represent compounding long-term risks to re-tenanting economics.

Executive Summary

This Scotchman/Fas Mart convenience store at 421 E Chatham St in Cary, NC is a 2,492 SF net lease asset backed by GPM Investments and situated in one of the fastest-growing metros in the Southeast. The site earned a location grade of 71/100 (Strong), supported by dense daytime employment, affluent surrounding demographics, and a very walkable urban position within Wake County. The investment thesis centers on near-term income stability within a high-growth market rather than a long-duration bond-like hold.

Demographics

The 3-mile trade area holds 87,436 residents with average household income of $125,382, a median home value of $431,162, and a bachelor's degree attainment rate of 60.9%, reflecting an educated, economically stable consumer base. The 5-mile population of 185,862 averages $134,501 in household income, well above national norms. The 1-mile poverty rate of 16.4% is a localized soft spot but is moderated by surrounding affluence.

Market Context

Wake County added over 100,000 residents between 2020 and 2024, a 9.0% gain, and unemployment sits at 2.9%, signaling a persistently tight labor market. The county supports 530,994 employees across 33,076 establishments, anchoring consistent retail and fuel demand. Cary's position within the Raleigh-Durham metro of 1M+ population provides long-term demand durability uncommon in smaller convenience store markets.

Location Quality

The site scores 73 on Walk Score (Very Walkable) and benefits from 61,225 daytime jobs within 3 miles, supporting a reliable AM/PM drive traffic pattern. Twenty restaurants and 20 retail destinations within 1 mile create co-tenancy that drives incidental fuel and convenience stops. AADT of 7,500 vehicles per day is modest for a gas station and represents the site's most meaningful physical constraint.

Risk Factors

The FEMA flood designation is Zone X, indicating minimal flood hazard, and no material environmental flags are noted. Crime statistics were not provided, limiting full risk underwriting. The broader physical site — built in 1990, 2,492 SF — may require capital investment as the lease approaches expiration.

Investment Positioning

With 4.8 years of remaining term expiring March 31, 2031, this asset sits in near-term rollover territory, which limits pricing power relative to longer-duration net lease comps. Rent at expiration is not disclosed, creating uncertainty around whether the current $88,460 annual rent is at, above, or below market. The single renewal option, with a notice deadline of September 2030, gives the buyer limited runway to assess tenant intent before the decision point arrives. GPM Investments, LLC — a subsidiary of Nasdaq-listed ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. convenience store operator with roughly 3,500 locations — provides meaningful credit support, but ARKO has faced margin pressure and debt load scrutiny in recent periods, making this a credible but not investment-grade guaranty. Buyers should underwrite a potential lease-up or re-tenanting scenario at expiration.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 48 briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

Download full OM (PDF)
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