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Rank #136 of 143 Weak 27/100 ⛽ 4 gas within 3 mi

MarathonStore #2488 · Marathon

511 W Main St, Carson City, MI

Annual Base Rent$95,207
Rent $/SF$33.74
Building SF2,822
Land (ac)0.61
Remaining Term2.1 yrs
StatusMid-Term
Pre G&A CFC0.39x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aMarathon
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementOct 09, 2007
Lease expirationSep 30, 2028
Remaining term2.1 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$95,207
Base rent $/SF$33.74
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/2
Notice dateMar 04, 2028
Year built1970
Building SF2,822
Land area (acres)0.61
Pre G&A CFC0.39x (2024)
Lease statusActive

Location Score Breakdown 27/100

AADT Traffic 5/15
Highway Proximity 10/10
Gas Competition 1mi 2/15
3mi Population 0/12
3mi HH Income n/a
Pop Density 3mi 0/8
County Growth 6/7
County Unemp. 6/7
Dollar Stores 4/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 1/10
EV Density Pen. 0/0
Thin Market Pen. -10/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population009,484
Households002,361
Pop. density (/sq mi)00121
Avg HH income$77,891
Poverty rate10.9%
Bachelor's+ 11.1%
Median home value$160,200
Median rent$798
Median age38
Owner-occupied80.3%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)6,587
Daytime jobs (3 mi)1,295
Daytime jobs (1 mi)737
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)3
Gas competitors (1 mi)5
Gas competitors (3 mi)4
Gas competitors (5 mi)4
Nearest competing gas (mi)0.27
Nearest grocery/conv. alternative (mi)0.04
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)1
Highway distance (mi)0.01
EV stations (5 mi)1
CountyMontcalm County
County pop. growth4.0%
County unemployment5.0%
Walk score42
Bike score41
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • The lease guarantor, GPM Investments under ARKO Corp., operates approximately 3,500 sites across 34 states and is SEC-reporting, providing transparent, investment-grade-adjacent credit support through expiration.
  • The property sits in FEMA Flood Zone X, indicating minimal flood risk and no expected insurance or financing complications tied to environmental hazard.
  • Montcalm County posted four percent population growth from 2020 to 2024, signaling at least modest regional stability in an otherwise thin market.

Key Risks

  • Five competing gas stations within one mile against only 6,587 vehicles per day creates a structurally oversupplied competitive environment that undermines renewal probability.
  • With 2.1 years of term remaining and no disclosed rent at expiration, the buyer faces near-term rollover exposure with no contractual income floor beyond September
  • Zero population density within three miles and a 1954-vintage building profile significantly narrows the universe of replacement tenants and increases re-leasing costs if GPM vacates.

Executive Summary

511 W Main St in Carson City, MI is a Marathon-branded convenience store and gas station operated by GPM Investments under a lease expiring September 30, 2028, leaving approximately 2.1 years of remaining term. The site carries a location grade of 27 out of 100, reflecting thin traffic counts, negligible close-in population density, and heavy local competition. This is a short-term income play with meaningful rollover risk in a secondary rural market.

Demographics

Population data within one and three miles returns zero, indicating the property sits in an extremely sparse rural setting with essentially no immediate residential base. The five-mile trade area supports 9,484 residents at a density of only 121 people per square mile, with average household income of $77,891 and a poverty rate of 10.9 percent. The demographic foundation is too thin to anchor durable convenience retail demand.

Market Context

Montcalm County carries a five-year population growth rate of roughly four percent, reaching 69,314 residents in 2024, which provides modest but real regional momentum. The local economy is limited, with 1,050 total establishments and 13,604 employees countywide, and the 5.0 percent unemployment rate sits slightly above national averages. The broader market does not offer the density or employment base typically associated with resilient net lease convenience store performance.

Location Quality

Daily traffic of 6,587 vehicles is well below the threshold institutional buyers expect for gas station viability, and a Walk Score of 42 confirms car-dependent access with no meaningful pedestrian or transit support. The site sits 0.01 miles from the nearest major road, providing adequate arterial visibility, but five competing gas stations within one mile represent a disproportionately saturated competitive set for this traffic volume.

Risk Factors

1. The site faces five competing gas stations within one mile against a daily traffic count of only 6,587 vehicles, creating severe demand fragmentation. 2. Population density within both one and three miles registers at zero, leaving the operator with no proximate residential customer base to sustain inside sales. 3. The building was constructed in 1970 and measures 2,822 square feet, raising near-term capital expenditure concerns around environmental compliance, equipment age, and re-tenanting costs if the lease rolls.

Investment Positioning

With only 2.1 years of remaining term and a single two-year renewal option, a buyer is effectively acquiring a near-term rollover event at a current rent of $95,207 annually. No rent at expiration is disclosed, eliminating visibility into contractual escalation. GPM Investments, a subsidiary of Nasdaq-listed ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. convenience store operator, provides credible institutional credit, but that guarantor quality does not offset the site's structural weakness if GPM elects not to renew in a subperforming rural location.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 143 property briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

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