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Rank #141 of 143 Poor 20/100 ⛽ 4 gas within 3 mi

MarathonStore #2495 · Marathon

325 E. Saginaw Street, Breckenridge, MI

Annual Base Rent$158,678
Rent $/SF$51.15
Building SF3,102
Land (ac)0.40
Remaining Term1.4 yrs
StatusMid-Term
Pre G&A CFC1.54x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aMarathon
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementOct 09, 2007
Lease expirationDec 31, 2027
Remaining term1.4 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$158,678
Base rent $/SF$51.15
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/2
Notice dateJun 04, 2027
Year built1980
Building SF3,102
Land area (acres)0.40
Pre G&A CFC1.54x (2024)
Lease statusActive

Location Score Breakdown 20/100

AADT Traffic 5/15
Highway Proximity 10/10
Gas Competition 1mi 2/15
3mi Population 0/12
3mi HH Income n/a
Pop Density 3mi 0/8
County Growth 2/7
County Unemp. 4/7
Dollar Stores 4/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 1/10
EV Density Pen. 0/0
Thin Market Pen. -10/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population003,168
Households001,252
Pop. density (/sq mi)0040
Avg HH income$82,522
Poverty rate10.9%
Bachelor's+ 17.1%
Median home value$117,900
Median rent$749
Median age42
Owner-occupied80.1%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)8,397
Daytime jobs (3 mi)661
Daytime jobs (1 mi)566
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)4
Gas competitors (1 mi)4
Gas competitors (3 mi)4
Gas competitors (5 mi)4
Nearest competing gas (mi)0.20
Nearest grocery/conv. alternative (mi)0.08
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)1
Highway distance (mi)0.01
EV stations (5 mi)1
CountyGratiot County
County pop. growth-0.8%
County unemployment5.4%
Walk score38
Bike score39
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • Corporate lease guaranty from ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. convenience store operator with approximately 3,500 locations, provides institutional-grade credit support through December
  • Proximity of 0.01 miles to the nearest major road ensures the site captures essentially all passing traffic on the corridor.
  • A single low-density EV charging presence within five miles suggests minimal near-term electric vehicle disruption to fuel demand in this rural market.

Key Risks

  • Four competing gas stations within half a mile create severe fuel margin and volume pressure on an already low-traffic site generating only 8,397 AADT.
  • Lease expiration in December 2027 with no disclosed renewal rent terms leaves a buyer exposed to significant income loss or re-tenanting costs in a weak 3,168-person trade area.
  • The absence of any population within one or three miles, combined with only 661 daytime workers within three miles, provides an extremely thin consumer base to support lease renewal or re-leasing at current rent levels.

Executive Summary

This Marathon-branded convenience store at 325 E. Saginaw Street in Breckenridge, Michigan carries a location grade of 20 out of 100, reflecting thin population density, modest traffic counts, and elevated local competition. The asset offers 1.4 years of remaining lease term with a single renewal option held by GPM Investments, a subsidiary of publicly traded ARKO Corp. Given the weak underlying location fundamentals, the investment thesis rests almost entirely on near-term income certainty rather than real estate quality.

Demographics

Meaningful population data is absent within one and three miles, with only 3,168 residents captured at the five-mile radius at a sparse density of 40 people per square mile. Average household income of $82,522 at five miles is adequate but not compelling, and the data void at tighter radii signals a genuinely rural, low-density trade area. These metrics offer limited support for long-term retail demand at this location.

Market Context

Gratiot County is a nonmetro, metro-adjacent market with a declining population base, falling from 41,687 in 2020 to 41,372 in 2024, a loss of 0.8 percent. County unemployment of 5.4 percent exceeds typical national benchmarks, and the total employment base of 10,796 workers across 728 establishments reflects a shallow local economy. Daytime employment within three miles is only 661 jobs, providing minimal captive customer demand for this site.

Location Quality

An AADT of 8,397 vehicles per day is low for a gas station net lease asset, and a Walk Score of 38 confirms the car-dependent character of the trade area. Four competing gas stations exist within half a mile, creating meaningful fuel price and convenience pressure. The site offers little locational differentiation to support sustained above-average sales volumes.

Risk Factors

The property sits in FEMA Flood Zone X, presenting minimal environmental exposure. No elevated crime data flags were identified at the state level. The 1980 construction vintage on a 3,102-square-foot building introduces potential deferred capital expenditure risk if a new operator or tenant requires modernization post-lease.

Investment Positioning

With only 1.4 years remaining before the December 2027 expiration, a buyer faces near-term rollover risk in a subpar location. Current rent of $158,678 annually, or $51.15 per square foot, is aggressive for a low-traffic rural Michigan convenience store, creating real downside if GPM declines to exercise its single renewal option. The renewal notice deadline of June 2027 arrives quickly, and no rent at expiration figure is provided to benchmark renewal economics. GPM Investments as guarantor, backed by ARKO Corp., a Nasdaq-listed operator with roughly 3,500 sites, provides credible corporate credit through the existing term, but that credit quality does not offset the location's structural weaknesses if the tenant walks.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 143 property briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

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