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Rank #41 of 143 Strong 62/100

Road RangerStore #2561 · Road Ranger

7997 Forest Hills Rd, Loves Park, IL

Annual Base Rent$160,347
Rent $/SF$47.26
Building SF3,393
Land (ac)0.53
Remaining Term1.5 yrs
StatusMid-Term
Pre G&A CFC-0.07x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aRoad Ranger
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementDec 20, 2007
Lease expirationDec 31, 2027
Remaining term1.5 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$160,347
Base rent $/SF$47.26
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/6
Notice dateApr 01, 2027
Year built2000
Building SF3,393
Land area (acres)0.53
Pre G&A CFC-0.07x (2024)
Lease statusActive

Location Score Breakdown 62/100

AADT Traffic 8/15
Highway Proximity 3/10
Gas Competition 1mi 2/15
3mi Population 12/12
3mi HH Income 12/12
Pop Density 3mi 6/8
County Growth 2/7
County Unemp. 6/7
Dollar Stores 6/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 6/10
EV Density Pen. 0/0
Thin Market Pen. 0/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population8,37258,026111,206
Households3,66223,93146,469
Pop. density (/sq mi)2,6652,0521,416
Avg HH income$81,514$91,213$91,474
Poverty rate11.9%13.1%13.1%
Bachelor's+ 18.2%27.5%29.9%
Median home value$142,616$162,388$159,630
Median rent$1,073$1,117$1,124
Median age404142
Owner-occupied60.8%70.9%68.3%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)19,100
Daytime jobs (3 mi)19,780
Daytime jobs (1 mi)3,020
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)2
Gas competitors (1 mi)6
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)0
Highway distance (mi)1.71
EV stations (5 mi)7
CountyWinnebago County
County pop. growth-0.4%
County unemployment4.7%
Walk score52
Bike score42
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • The lease is guaranteed by GPM Investments / ARKO Corp. (Nasdaq: ARKO), a publicly traded, SEC-reporting operator of approximately 3,500 convenience stores across 34 states, providing institutional-grade credit transparency.
  • The 3-mile trade area supports a healthy demand base with 58,026 residents averaging $91,213 in household income and 70.9% owner occupancy.
  • FEMA Zone X designation confirms minimal flood risk, eliminating a common environmental liability for fuel retail assets.

Key Risks

  • Only 1.5 years of remaining lease term creates immediate rollover exposure, with the renewal notice deadline as early as April 1, 2027, compressing a buyer's decision window.
  • Six competing gas stations within one mile represent a saturated local fuel market that could constrain the tenant's willingness to renew at or above the current rent of $47.26 per square foot.
  • Winnebago County's population declined 0.4% from 2020 to 2024 in a slow-growth MSA, limiting rent growth assumptions and dampening long-term asset appreciation prospects.

Executive Summary

This Road Ranger / Fas Mart (GPM Investments) net lease asset at 7997 Forest Hills Rd, Loves Park, IL earned a location grade of 62/100 (Strong), supported by a dense 3-mile trade area of 58,026 residents and solid traffic of 19,100 AADT. With only 1.5 years of lease term remaining and a single 6-year renewal option, the investment thesis is primarily a near-term rollover or renewal play on a publicly traded guarantor credit.

Demographics

The 3-mile population of 58,026 at an average household income of $91,213 reflects a stable, middle-income suburban base with 70.9% owner occupancy, a sign of residential durability. Poverty rates of 13.1% at 3 miles and a day/night population ratio of 0.36 suggest the site draws more resident than commuter traffic, consistent with a neighborhood-serving fuel stop rather than a destination corridor location.

Market Context

Loves Park sits within the Rockford MSA (Winnebago County), a metro of 250K-1M with flat to modestly declining population (-0.4% from 2020 to 2024) and a 4.7% unemployment rate, indicating a mature, slow-growth market with limited organic demand tailwinds. The retail and food service base of over 1,400 combined establishments reflects an active local economy, though the county's trajectory does not support aggressive rent growth assumptions at renewal.

Location Quality

An AADT of 19,100 provides adequate fuel-stop volume, but the site sits 1.71 miles from the nearest major road, limiting its ability to capture true highway convenience traffic. With six competing gas stations within one mile and a Walk Score of 52, the site functions as a neighborhood convenience destination rather than a high-velocity fuel corridor location.

Risk Factors

The primary environmental risk is minimal: FEMA Zone X designation confirms no material flood exposure. No dollar or discount store competition within 0.5 miles reduces foot-traffic cannibalization risk at the convenience retail level.

Investment Positioning

With only 1.5 years remaining and a notice deadline of April 1, 2027, a buyer is acquiring near-term lease expiration risk on day one. Rent at expiration is not disclosed, creating uncertainty around renewal pricing and the true terminal value of the income stream. The guarantor credit — GPM Investments, LLC, a subsidiary of Nasdaq-listed ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. convenience store operator with roughly 3,500 sites — is a meaningful institutional-quality backstop, though ARKO's leverage profile and competitive pressures in the convenience sector warrant ongoing monitoring. A buyer must underwrite this primarily as a renewal or re-tenanting situation, not a long-term income hold.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 48 briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

Download full OM (PDF)
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