Fortis Capital Solutions GPM Disposition PortfolioLocation Intelligence & Lease Summary
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Rank #82 of 143 Average 53/100 ⛽ 15 gas within 3 mi

MarathonStore #2494 · Marathon

2482 Tittabawassee Rd, Saginaw, MI

Annual Base Rent$95,207
Rent $/SF$30.21
Building SF3,152
Land (ac)0.66
Remaining Term0.6 yrs
StatusNear-Term Rollover
Pre G&A CFC3.43x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aMarathon
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementOct 09, 2007
Lease expirationMar 31, 2027
Remaining term0.6 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$95,207
Base rent $/SF$30.21
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/2
Notice dateSep 02, 2026
Year built1980
Building SF3,152
Land area (acres)0.66
Pre G&A CFC3.43x (2024)
Lease statusActive

Location Score Breakdown 53/100

AADT Traffic 2/15
Highway Proximity 8/10
Gas Competition 1mi 2/15
3mi Population 10/12
3mi HH Income 10/12
Pop Density 3mi 4/8
County Growth 2/7
County Unemp. 4/7
Dollar Stores 6/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 6/10
EV Density Pen. 0/0
Thin Market Pen. 0/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population027,34878,894
Households010,90232,483
Pop. density (/sq mi)09671,005
Avg HH income$74,439$76,409
Poverty rate27.5%23.1%
Bachelor's+ 24.3%24.9%
Median home value$126,273$118,006
Median rent$820$935
Median age3538
Owner-occupied62.6%66.8%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)3,514
Daytime jobs (3 mi)21,944
Daytime jobs (1 mi)8,791
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)2
Gas competitors (1 mi)5
Gas competitors (3 mi)15
Gas competitors (5 mi)18
Nearest competing gas (mi)0.30
Nearest grocery/conv. alternative (mi)0.52
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)0
Highway distance (mi)0.48
EV stations (5 mi)19
CountySaginaw County
County pop. growth-1.1%
County unemployment6.2%
Walk score37
Bike score52
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • GPM Investments/ARKO Corp. guaranty provides publicly traded, SEC-reporting credit across approximately 3,500 locations in 34 states, supporting lease obligations through expiration.
  • The 3-mile daytime employment base of 21,944 workers generates recurring fuel and convenience demand during peak commute and lunch hours.
  • Zero dollar or discount store competition within 0.5 miles reduces inside-store traffic fragmentation at the immediate site level.

Key Risks

  • With only 0.6 years of remaining lease term, a buyer faces near-immediate rollover exposure and must address the September 2, 2026 renewal notice deadline within months of acquisition.
  • Site AADT of 3,514 vehicles per day is well below the 15,000-plus threshold typical of high-performing gas station locations, limiting organic volume and re-tenanting optionality.
  • Saginaw County's 6.2% unemployment rate and 27.5% three-mile poverty rate represent structural economic headwinds that constrain consumer spending and long-term rent growth.

Executive Summary

This Marathon/Fas Mart convenience store at 2482 Tittabawassee Rd in Saginaw, Michigan earns an Average location grade of 53/100, reflecting modest but real trade-area demand constrained by a shrinking, high-poverty market. With only 0.6 years of lease term remaining and a single renewal option outstanding, the investment thesis pivots almost entirely on rollover execution and the credit quality of the guarantor rather than location fundamentals.

Demographics

The 3-mile ring supports 27,348 residents at a modest $74,439 average household income, but a 27.5% poverty rate and median home value of $126,273 signal a cost-sensitive consumer base with limited discretionary spending. Population at the county level has declined 1.1% from 2020 to 2024, and the 5-mile poverty rate of 23.1% reinforces a structurally challenged demand environment.

Market Context

Saginaw County sits in a smaller metro below 250,000 population with a 6.2% unemployment rate that exceeds most national benchmarks, indicating ongoing labor market stress. The broader retail ecosystem of 754 establishments and 375 food service operators reflects a functional but not dynamic trade area with limited upside rent pressure.

Location Quality

Site-level traffic of 3,514 AADT is low for a gas station and convenience store format that typically benefits from 15,000-plus daily counts. Five competing gas stations within one mile intensify pressure on fuel margin and customer capture, and a Walk Score of 37 confirms full car dependency with no meaningful pedestrian or transit demand.

Risk Factors

Minimal FEMA flood exposure in Zone X removes a material physical risk from underwriting. State-level crime data was unavailable for this analysis, which limits full risk stratification. No dollar or discount store competition within 0.5 miles is a modest positive for inside-store traffic, though 19 EV charging stations within 5 miles signals early but growing fuel-demand substitution risk.

Investment Positioning

The lease expires March 31, 2027, leaving approximately 0.6 years of contractual income at $95,207 annually, creating immediate rollover risk that a buyer must underwrite on day one. Rent at expiration and the renewal rent step are not disclosed, creating pricing uncertainty. One of two renewal options remains, with a notice deadline of September 2, 2026, meaning a buyer closing today must act on that option almost immediately. GPM Investments, a subsidiary of Nasdaq-listed ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. c-store operator with roughly 3,500 locations, provides institutional-grade credit backing, which partially offsets the short duration risk. The combination of near-term rollover and an above-replacement-cost rent of $30.21 per square foot for a 1980-vintage building warrants a meaningful risk premium in pricing.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 143 property briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

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